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Updated: 8/31/2019 3:20:41 AM
As of early morning August 31st (UTC), Dorian is a powerful CAT4 hurricane, packing sustained winds of 225 km/h. Dorian has strengthened faster than most models indicated. Currently located east of the Bahamas, it is expected to track across the Bahamas towards a possible landfall in Florida over the next 2-3 days. Significant uncertainty still remains about its track. We will be providing a more extensive update later in the day.
Dorian reached hurricane status at landfall in U.S. Virgin Islands at 18:00 UTC on August 28 where a weather station recorded winds of 132 km/h and a gust of 179 km/h. The system is expected to strengthen into a major hurricane during the next couple of days and reach Florida on Tuesday, September 3. Because of the uncertainty in the track of this storm, every resident along the East Coast needs to be ready. Dorian is the second hurricane of the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season.
At 09:00 UTC (05:00 AST) on August 29, Hurricane "Dorian" was located within 240 km NNW San Juan, Puerto Rico and 685 km ESE of the southeastern Bahamas. Maximum sustained winds were 140 km/h, with gusts to 165 km/h. Hurricane-force winds extend up to 30 km from the center of Dorian, and tropical-storm-force winds up to 150 km from the center.
The GFS is a northern outlier from the rest of the guidance, showing a weaker ridge and bringing Dorian close to the Florida/Georgia border, while the UKMET and ECMWF models show stronger ridges and remain the southernmost solutions near South Florida. With lower shear and very warm waters, all of the intensity models forecast Dorian to begin strengthening again soon, and rapid intensification could occur.
Governor Ron DeSantis issued Executive Order 19-189 on August 28, declaring a state of emergency for counties in the path of Hurricane "Dorian."
"Today, I am declaring a state of emergency to ensure Florida is fully prepared for Hurricane Dorian," said DeSantis. "It’s important for Floridians on the East Coast to monitor this storm closely. Every Florida resident should have seven days of supplies, including food, water, and medicine, and should have a plan in case of disaster. I will continue to monitor Hurricane Dorian closely with emergency management officials. The state stands ready to support all counties along the coast as they prepare."
"Because of the uncertainty in the track of this storm, every resident along the East Coast needs to be ready," said Florida Division of Emergency Management Director Jared Moskowitz.